The National Housing Finance & Investment Corporation (NHFIC) yesterday released its second State of the Nation’s Housing report, showing while housing supply may appear healthy in the short term, there is in fact a major supply crunch on the horizon.

Property Council of Australia Chief Executive Ken Morrison says the report shows that as the economy and Net Overseas Migration recovers, the demand for new households will outstrip supply.

“The projections in this report are concerning and mirror the same warnings the Property Council of Australia has been making for some time,” says Morrison.

“The report clearly shows that between 2025 to 2032, Australia will find itself 163,400 homes short of expected demand,” he says.

“That’s an average deficit of 20,000 homes a year, every year, until 2032.”

“Overall housing supply is expected to fall by around one third in just four years from 2023. That can’t be good for housing affordability,” he says.

The report also highlights significant greenfield land supply constraint in key markets including Sydney and South East Queensland, which could limit the industry’s ability to meet demand.

“At a time when housing affordability is front of mind for some many Australians, the last thing we can afford is having supply and planning constraints putting further upward pressure on rents and prices,” he notes.

“The fresh NHFIC data also correlates with Property Council/Urbis data, which showed apartment supply in 2020-2024 is likely to be around just one fifth of levels we saw in 2014-2018”.

Image: https://newsroom.unsw.edu.au/news/social-affairs/what-australia-can-learn-overseas-about-future-rental-housing

Branko Miletic

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