The latest population and household projections released by the Victoria Government this week indicates the state will likely be home to 10 million people by 2051.

Updated from 2012 projections, the Victoria in Future 2014 figures help the government manage growth and plan future infrastructure and services such as transport, schools and hospitals through long-term strategies including Plan Melbourne.

Judging by upwards trends in birth rates, life expectancy and migration, the strong population growth Victoria has been experiencing in recent years will continue.

Key trends include: Victoria’s population is likely to reach 10 million people by 2051, up from 5.7 million in 2013; Greater Melbourne is likely to reach 7.8 million people by 2051, up from 4.3 million in 2013; Victoria’s regions will likely grow to 2.2 million people, up from 1.4 million in 2013; and more than half of the regional growth to 2051 will come from people moving from Melbourne.

Victoria in Future 2014 analyses population drivers such as births, deaths and migration, as well as future age and household structures. All population and household projections, down to local government areas, are available online.